Supercomputer predicts the final 2024/25 Premier League table
- Opta's supercomputer has made projections for 2024/25 Premier League campaign
- Man City are the heavy favourites to retain title
- Computer backing three promoted teams to go back down
We're back, folks. We're so back.
A hefty international billing ensured club football wasn't sorely missed over the summer, with supporters enjoying pre-season outings in the immediate aftermath of Euro 2024 and Copa America's conclusions.
Fans have barely had a chance to catch their breath over a hectic summer and have little time to dust themselves off with Manchester United hosting Fulham on Friday night to signal the start of the new Premier League season.
The 2024/25 season now beckons and Opta have once again stuck their neck out by offering their final Premier League table projection.
Here's how their AI-powered supercomputer believes the upcoming campaign will pan out based on 10,000 season simulations.
Supercomputer predicted's 2024/25 Premier League table
Opta are once again bullish on Manchester City. They backed the Cityzens to do the unprecedented last season and win their fourth-straight league title and they're heavy favourites to win their fifth on the bounce in 2024/25.
However, the likelihood of City winning the title has come down ever so slightly compared to last year. Opta gave Pep Guardiola's side a 90.2% chance of winning the league before the season got underway in 2023 and are now handing them a mere 82.2% likelihood for 2024/25.
Arsenal's sturdier challenge last season has been recognised by Opta, with the Gunners firm favourites to finish second for a third successive year. Arne Slot's Liverpool are primed for a third-place finish but are unlikely to fiercely compete with the top two.
Position | Team | Probability of finishing in position (%) |
|---|---|---|
1 | Man City | 82.2 |
2 | Arsenal | 48.8 |
3 | Liverpool | 40.2 |
4 | Chelsea | 19.5 |
5 | Newcastle | 16.3 |
6 | Man Utd | 14.1 |
7 | Tottenham | 12.3 |
8 | Aston Villa | 11.1 |
9 | Crystal Palace | 10.4 |
10 | West Ham | 9.5 |
11 | Brighton | 9.4 |
12 | Fulham | 10.1 |
13 | Everton | 9.8 |
14 | Brentford | 9.9 |
15 | Bournemouth | 10.9 |
16 | Wolves | 11.5 |
17 | Nottingham Forest | 13.2 |
18 | Leicester | 16.8 |
19 | Ipswich Town | 21.3 |
20 | Southampton | 28.6 |
Rather surprisingly, the supercomputer is backing Enzo Maresca's Chelsea for a fourth-place finish despite their tough pre-season and woeful squad building. Newcastle United are also set to benefit from a lack of midweek football, but Tottenham Hotspur and Aston Villa are projected to suffer.
The projected table would suggest Opta are admirers of Oliver Glasner, with Crystal Palace predicted to improve upon their 10th place finish last season. Despite losing Michael Olise and potentially Marc Guehi, Opta believes the Eagles will secure another top half berth.
There are few concerns surrounding Joao Palhinha's departure from Fulham, with Emile Smith Rowe set to bolster a well-coached unit from a creative position. Cottagers supporters would surely be thrilled with 12th having lost their midfield lynchpin to Bayern Munich.
Opta are projecting an improvement from Fulham, but believe Bournemouth and Wolves could get dragged into the relegation scrap. The Cherries will have to find 19 goals from somewhere having lost Dominic Solanke to Tottenham, while Wolves overachieved last season and are now without Pedro Neto in attack. Still, their respective chances of going down are pretty slim (Bournemouth - 12.3% and Wolves - 20.9%) with Opta convinced the three newly-promoted teams will drop back down to the Championship at the first time of asking - as was the case last season; the first time that had happened since 1998.
Leicester (60.4%), Ipswich Town (64.8%), and Southampton (66.7%) are the strongest contenders for the drop.
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